Strategies to improve the communication of probability information in risk analyses Caponecchia, C en_US 2021-11-25T13:50:09Z 2021-11-25T13:50:09Z 2008 en_US
dc.description.abstract Difficulties in interpreting probabilities can impede the progress of risk analyses and impair the communication of risk information to stakeholders. This review examines how people have problems in interpreting probability information, leading to several strategies for improved understanding. The inconsistent translation of probability terms to numerical expressions, and the biases that influence their interpretation, highlight the need to improve the communication of probabilities wherever possible. Current probability communication strategies from medicine and behavioural science, such as natural frequencies and systematic ovals, are reviewed. Practical complications presented by large-scale risk analyses may be solved by conveying key probabilities graphically, providing recurrent guide material throughout documentation, or using stakeholder workshops. While various disciplines can guide the development of improved communication tools for probabilities, research specific to their use in risk management applications needs to be conducted. en_US
dc.identifier.issn 1466-8297 en_US
dc.language English
dc.language.iso EN en_US
dc.rights CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 en_US
dc.rights.uri en_US
dc.source Legacy MARC en_US
dc.subject.other biosecurity en_US
dc.subject.other decision aids en_US
dc.subject.other natural frequencies en_US
dc.subject.other probability en_US
dc.subject.other probability interpretation en_US
dc.subject.other reference classes en_US
dc.subject.other risk analysis en_US
dc.subject.other risk communication en_US
dc.title Strategies to improve the communication of probability information in risk analyses en_US
dc.type Journal Article en
dcterms.accessRights metadata only access
dspace.entity.type Publication en_US
unsw.identifier.doiPublisher en_US
unsw.relation.faculty Science
unsw.relation.ispartofissue 2-4 en_US
unsw.relation.ispartofjournal International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management en_US
unsw.relation.ispartofpagefrompageto 380-395 en_US
unsw.relation.ispartofvolume 12 en_US
unsw.relation.originalPublicationAffiliation Caponecchia, C, Safety Science, Faculty of Science, UNSW en_US School of Risk & Safety Science *
Resource type