Multi-model investigation of foot-and-mouth disease spread in Texas Ward, M en_US Highfield, L en_US Carpenter, T en_US Garner, M en_US Beckett, Simeon en_US Laffan, Shawn en_US 2021-11-25T13:09:24Z 2021-11-25T13:09:24Z 2007 en_US
dc.description.abstract Simulation models are important for investigating foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) introduction scenarios and testing the potential effectiveness of control programs. To incorporate disease spread via domestic livestock and wildlife populations, a multi-model approach has been used to simulate potential FMD outbreaks in a region of Texas. Within the study region - a 9-county area (24,525 of southern Texas, bordering Mexico - the distribution of cattle and feral pigs was estimated based on land use and vegetation characteristics. A geographic automata model of FMD spread between feral pig herds (1 km2 grid) was used to initiate the outbreak. During each simulated day of spread, we identified cattle herds (represented as either points or polygons) that may have been infected. We then used, separately, two spread models of FMD in domestic species to simulate an FMD outbreak in cattle herds in the study region. Initial simulations of this multi-model system based on introduction of infection into five randomly selected feral pig herds as input to the two spread models resulted in a typical outbreak that lasted 1-2 R. Sanson / Preventive Veterinary Medicine 81 (2007) 213-223 221 months and could affect about 100 cattle herds. The multi-epidemiologic modeling framework is currently being integrated with livestock transportation, carcass disposal and economic models to create a scalable and generic decision support system. en_US
dc.identifier.issn 0167-5877 en_US
dc.language English
dc.language.iso EN en_US
dc.rights CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 en_US
dc.rights.uri en_US
dc.source Legacy MARC en_US
dc.title Multi-model investigation of foot-and-mouth disease spread in Texas en_US
dc.type Journal Article en
dcterms.accessRights metadata only access
dspace.entity.type Publication en_US
unsw.identifier.doiPublisher en_US
unsw.relation.faculty Science
unsw.relation.ispartofissue 1-3 en_US
unsw.relation.ispartofjournal Preventive Veterinary Medicine en_US
unsw.relation.ispartofpagefrompageto 221-222 en_US
unsw.relation.ispartofvolume 81 en_US
unsw.relation.originalPublicationAffiliation Ward, M en_US
unsw.relation.originalPublicationAffiliation Highfield, L en_US
unsw.relation.originalPublicationAffiliation Carpenter, T en_US
unsw.relation.originalPublicationAffiliation Garner, M en_US
unsw.relation.originalPublicationAffiliation Beckett, Simeon en_US
unsw.relation.originalPublicationAffiliation Laffan, Shawn, Biological, Earth & Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Science, UNSW en_US School of Biological, Earth & Environmental Sciences *
Resource type